BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Air Force
Class: 1A Class Rank: 109 Overall: (5-7) Overall Strength = 130.80
Conference: Mountain West Conference Record: (3-4) | District: 1A-01 Record: (4-7)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/31/2024 Home W 122.93 21 6 1B 66 ( 5- 6) Merrimack -7.87 18.90 22.87
2 09/07/2024 Home L * * 123.03 7 17 1A 94 ( 7- 6) San Jose St -7.76 -5.33 -2.24
3 09/14/2024 Away L * 130.40 3 31 1A 29 ( 8- 5) Baylor -0.40 -21.96 -27.60
4 09/28/2024 Away L * * 120.37 19 31 1A 110 ( 3- 9) Wyoming -10.43 7.73 -1.57
5 10/05/2024 Home L * 118.13 7 34 1A 51 (10- 3) Navy -12.67 -29.04 -14.33
6 10/12/2024 Away L * * 117.60 37 52 1A 113 ( 5- 7) New Mexico -13.20 -3.69 -1.80
7 10/19/2024 Home L * * 122.40 13 21 1A 97 ( 8- 5) Colorado St -8.40 -9.59 0.40
8 11/02/2024 Away L * 135.00 3 20 1A 52 (12- 2) Army 4.20 -35.85 -21.20
9 11/09/2024 Home W * * 143.63 36 28 1A 84 ( 7- 6) Fresno St 12.83 -14.17 -4.83
10 11/16/2024 Home W * 157.85 28 0 1A 105 ( 5- 7) Oregon St 27.05 -7.87 0.95
11 11/23/2024 Away W * * 139.27 22 19 1A 98 ( 3-10) Nevada 8.47 -9.01 -5.47
12 11/30/2024 Away W * * 138.98 31 20 1A 124 ( 3- 9) San Diego St 8.18 0.69 2.82
Averages 130.80 18.9 23.2
Best game: 157.85 = 28 point win over Oregon St
Worst game: 117.60 = 15 point loss to New Mexico
Team stdev: 12.39